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HERO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HERO benefits from anticipated game releases like Grand Theft Auto VI, showing potential upside in 2025. Historical positive returns and decreasing long-term volatility enhance this outlook.

Bearish Case: Concerns include high near-term implied volatility, signaling potential corrections, and regulatory risks in major markets, which could impact the growth trajectory.

Potential Outcomes: Bullish rally on blockbuster releases (40%). Short-term correction if volatilities spike (35%). Stable continuity in absence of strong catalysts (25%).

Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish debit spread by buying HERO 25.00C and selling 28.00C for May expiry. This captures potential upside from new game launches, leveraging the current high implied volatility for a positive risk/reward outcome. Anticipate a price increase to $29 within 90 days.

February 12, 2025

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Assets with little price relationship to HERO

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HERO

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LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.86)

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