HOG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Harley-Davidson's brand loyalty and expansion into electric motorcycles and Asia offer growth prospects. High option volumes suggest continued investor interest.




Bearish Case: Continued macroeconomic pressures, historical flat performance, and high competition may constrain HOG's growth. The backwardation in implied volatility indicates potential uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of successful Asian market penetration boosting growth.
  • 50% chance of continued stagnation amid economic pressures.
  • 20% chance of innovation driving a strong rebound.



May 21, 2025


Harley-Davidson Forecast

HOG        Harley-Davidson











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HOG



CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (0.92)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.91)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.89)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.89)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HOG



KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.0)


QYLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QYLD  Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (0.01)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (0.01)


WCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WCC  Wesco International (0.01)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HOG



UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.78)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.81)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (-0.81)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.83)


USAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAU  U.S. Gold (-0.83)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with HOG


 Ask any question about HOG!