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HON Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong focus on sustainability and innovative technology initiatives may drive future growth. Increased call option volume suggests bullish investor sentiment.



Bearish Case: Market saturation, integration challenges, and recent legal issues could hinder growth. Implied volatility backwardation signals potential near-term uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth acceleration due to strategic initiatives (55%);

2. Continued market pressure causes stagnation (30%);

3. Integration issues lead to decline (15%).



Trading Oracle: Sell short-term put credit spreads (e.g., $205/$200) to take advantage of low implied volatility. Favorable 30-60 day outlook with historical mean reversion trend and call volume signaling potential upward shift.


February 15, 2025


Honeywell International Forecast

HON        Honeywell International

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XLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLK  Technology Select Sector SPDR (0.86)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HON


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NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (0.01)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (0.01)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.01)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HON


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.75)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.75)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.77)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.79)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.85)







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