IFV Forecast


Bullish Case: IFV is operating in a geopolitical climate where defense spending is high. Major contracts (Elbit Systems) and strengthening NATO alliances drive growth. Implied volatility is flat, presenting moderate risk.


Bearish Case: IFV faces headwinds from geopolitical instability and recent disruptions in ukrainian defense efforts. Poor recent price action and decreasing investor confidence signal potential downside. Elevated implied volatility adds uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Increased US/EU military spending boosts IFV (60%).

2. Geopolitical setbacks or IFV losses in Ukraine pressure prices (30%).

3. Status quo, flat trading in the near future (10%).


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June 30, 2024


First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust Dorsey Wright International Focus 5 Forecast

IFV      First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III - First Trust Dorsey Wright International Focus 5











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