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IGE Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Growing demand for natural resources, supported by positive economic indicators and lower implied volatility, suggests IGE could see upward price movement, with a potential target of $50 within the next six months.



Bearish Case: Increasing geopolitical tensions and rising interest rates may pressure natural resource prices, potentially driving IGE down to the $42 mark, especially with high near-term implied volatilities indicating market uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of a 10% gain driven by strong economic indicators.
  • 40% chance of flat returns as the market stabilizes.
  • 20% chance of a 10% drop due to geopolitical risks.
  • 10% chance of a sharp 15% decline if negative economic data emerges.



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November 26, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares North American Natural Resources Forecast

IGE        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares North American Natural Resources

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IGE


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (0.88)


FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (0.88)


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (0.86)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.86)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IGE


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (0.0)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.0)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (0.0)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (0.01)


DEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DEA  Easterly Government Properties (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IGE


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.68)


FLGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLGT  Fulgent Genetics (-0.7)


IGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGT  International Game Technology (-0.71)


ADBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADBE  Adobe (-0.73)


ERY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERY  Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares (-0.95)







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