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IGE Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Lower implied volatility at higher strikes suggests confidence. Rising commodity prices and economic recovery may support prices.

Bearish Case: High near-term volatility at lower strikes reflects uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions and green energy shift pose risks.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of 10% gain if demand rises.
45% chance of flat returns with stabilization.
25% chance of 10% drop from geopolitical issues.

April 26, 2025

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares North American Natural Resources Forecast

IGE BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares North American Natural Resources

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IGE

IMO Imperial Oil (0.67)

LIT Global X Lithium & Battery Tech (0.66)

WCC Wesco International (0.64)

TTI Tetra Technologies (0.64)

CAT Caterpillar (0.64)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IGE

BYRN Byrna (0.0)

FE Firstenergy (-0.0)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (-0.0)

BB BlackBerry (-0.01)

PPL PPL (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IGE

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.28)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.3)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.35)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.44)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.44)

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