INGR Forecast


Bullish Case: Ingredion's involvement in the growing solubility dietary fiber market, along with positive historical returns, supports further stock price appreciation.


Bearish Case: Increased input costs and the recent trend of option traders favoring puts over calls may pressure Ingredion's stock.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Market growth boosts revenue: 45%.

2. Stock declines due to input costs: 30%.

3. Flat trend amid balanced factors: 25%.


Trading Oracle: Deploy a bull call debit spread targeting Jan 2025 strikes. Given the flat term structure and reasonable implied volatility, maximize reward/risk in a modest bullish outlook. This strategy provides positive edge, balancing potential upside with control over risk.


July 21, 2024


Ingredion Forecast

INGR      Ingredion











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to INGR



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.41)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.56)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.63)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.87)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against INGR



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.87)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.41)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.56)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.63)





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