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ITB Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Historical mean reversion supports a recovery in ITB. Recent social media optimism about housing market recovery suggests potential growth, reinforced by stable implied volatility curves.



Bearish Case: High put-to-call volume ratio indicates bearish sentiment. Rising interest rates and economic uncertainties create potential downside pressures on ITB amid increased volatility.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance ITB rebounds with historical growth tendencies, 30% downturn from economic pressure, 10% stability. Volatility insights emphasize uncertain trading conditions.



Trading Oracle: Sell ITB 105P, Buy 100P. Short vol strategy aligns with mean reversion and high volatility. 69% profit odds, 17% expected return in 3 days. Short-term bullish outlook capitalizes on optimistic sentiment shift.


February 05, 2025


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ITB


MHK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MHK  Mohawk Industries (0.93)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.88)


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (0.87)


MAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAS  Masco (0.87)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ITB


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)


VIXM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXM  ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures (-0.0)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.01)


BDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BDX  Becton, Dickinson And Company (0.01)


PACB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PACB  Pacific Biosciences of California (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ITB


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.6)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.62)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.64)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.67)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (-0.68)







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