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JAVA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: JAVA's long-term holding periods show a positive return pattern, indicating potential growth, especially with tech adoption and J.P. Morgan's expertise in value investing boosting confidence.

Bearish Case: Market saturation and competition, along with volatility indicated by SPY, may result in underperformance. Concerns about active management fees and economic uncertainty add to the risk.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Tech gains boost JAVA (50%).

2. Market saturation leads to corrections (30%).

3. Neutral AI trends result in stagnation (20%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a Helium Long Volatility strategy with debit spreads. Targeting a rise above $70 in 6 months aligns with long-term positive returns seen in holding patterns. Capitalize on dips for optimal entry.

January 04, 2025

J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Active Value Forecast

JAVA J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Active Value

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with JAVA

TT Trane (0.97)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.97)

ERJ Embraer (0.96)

BSX Boston Scientific (0.96)

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.96)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JAVA

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.01)

OGN Organon (-0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.01)

ACN Accenture (0.05)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.06)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JAVA

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.86)

XRX Xerox (-0.86)

IEP Icahn (-0.87)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)

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