JHG Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Implied volatility suggests strong market sentiment, with potential price appreciation driven by historical returns and upcoming positive momentum from Janus Henderson's strategic moves into active ETFs and tokenization.




Bearish Case: High put option volume indicates significant bearish sentiment, coupled with risks from rising corporate defaults and potential management challenges associated with asset management trends.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 45%: Improvement in net fund flows due to active ETF expansion.

2. 30%: Corporate defaults rise, negatively impacting stock.

3. 15%: Positive earnings surprise from Q4 2024 results.

4. 10%: Strategic partnership challenges slow growth.




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November 14, 2024


Janus Henderson Forecast

JHG        Janus Henderson











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with JHG



FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (0.98)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.98)


DGRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGRO  iShares Core Dividend Growth (0.98)


JXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JXN  Jackson Financial (0.98)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to JHG



CRESY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRESY  Cresud (0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.0)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (-0.0)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.0)


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against JHG



JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.89)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)


EWCZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWCZ  European Wax Center (-0.91)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.91)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)









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