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LCID Forecast


Bullish Case: Lucid could surge as the Gravity SUV gains traction, bolstered by improved delivery metrics leading to strong Q1 financials. Anticipation of institutional investment may enhance bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: If Lucid fails to meet delivery targets again or faces unexpected production delays, the stock may drop further, exacerbated by high cash burn and competition from established EV players.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% - Successful Gravity launch boosts sales.
  • 30% - Continued production challenges hinder recovery.
  • 20% - Significant investor backing alleviates liquidity concerns.
  • 10% - Massive layoffs or restructuring harms investor confidence.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish diagonal spread by buying 2x $3.00 calls expiring January 2025 and selling 3x $4.00 calls expiring February 2025. This exploits anticipated volatility spikes around the Gravity launch while managing risk, targeting a favorable reward/risk ratio.


December 12, 2024


Lucid Forecast

LCID        Lucid

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