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LCID Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Lucid's technological edge, coupled with strategic partnerships and a high efficiency Gravity SUV, boosts growth prospects, potentially improving investor confidence.



Bearish Case: Ongoing production issues, high cash burn, and competitive pressures raise risks, emphasizing financial instability and limited market penetration.



Potential Outcomes: Lucid's growth (50%), financial struggles persist (40%), unexpected acquisition (10%). Consider intrinsic production and funding factors.



Trading Oracle: Utilize a short call spread strategy (Helium Short Volatility). Sell $3.5/$4 call spread expiring in 14 days, leveraging high near-term IV while managing bearish sentiment. Strong edge with favorable R/R.


January 09, 2025











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UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.67)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.62)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.59)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LCID


GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (0.0)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (-0.0)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.01)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.01)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LCID


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (-0.51)


CRESY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRESY  Cresud (-0.53)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (-0.53)


DNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNN  Denison Mines (-0.65)


SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (-0.67)







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