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LCID Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Lucid's acquisition of Nikola's facilities could enhance production capabilities. The shift in EV buyers' sentiment from Tesla to Lucid presents growth opportunities, reflected in high call option volume.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility at lower strike prices indicates investor pessimism. Persistent production issues and competitive pressures, alongside financial instability, pose significant risks to Lucid's stability.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 40%: Successful integration of new facilities boosts growth.
  2. 30%: Financial struggles due to competitive pressure lead to stock decline.
  3. 20%: Acquisition generates significant operational challenges.
  4. 10%: Strategic partnerships refresh investor confidence.


April 19, 2025


Lucid Forecast

LCID        Lucid

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LCID


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TFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TFC  Truist Financial (0.01)


PDBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDBC  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 (-0.01)


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.01)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)



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Assets that tend to move strongly against LCID


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LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (-0.5)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (-0.5)


FAST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAST  Fastenal (-0.52)


MP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MP  MP Materials (-0.58)







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