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LEVI Forecast


Bullish Case: LEVI's strong direct-to-consumer strategy and Asian market growth support the stock despite U.S. and EU challenges. Historical price returns suggest potential for moderate upside as demand stabilizes.



Bearish Case: Persistent weakness in U.S. and European markets, potential inventory issues, and high current implied volatility raise concerns about LEVI's ability to sustain growth. The historical returns signal risk of downside.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong Asian market and DTC growth boost revenue: 35%.

2. U.S./EU weakness persists, impacting earnings: 50%.

3. Inventory management improves, aiding margins: 15%.



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short volatility strategy with an $18-$16 put credit spread, expiring in 67 days. Focus on short-term stability and potential upside from direct-to-consumer growth. Expect a high probability of profit with a 75% likelihood based on current volatilities.


January 09, 2025


Levi Strauss Forecast

LEVI        Levi Strauss

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