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LHX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: High demand for defense systems amid geopolitical tensions, combined with new strategic partnerships, could bolster LHX earnings, especially given the forecast of increased defense budgets leading to significant contract wins.



Bearish Case: Persisting financial instability, highlighted by high debt levels and weakening earnings, alongside increasing competition in defense contracting sectors, may lead to further stock decline and erode investor confidence.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Increased defense contracts could provide a 45% chance of revenue growth.

2) Market volatility could pressure stock negatively (30% chance).

3) Continued financial distress could lead to a 25% chance of significant downturn.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish put credit spread by selling LHX 260 puts and buying LHX 240 puts. This utilizes current market conditions, capitalizing on expected stabilization in price with a significant expected return (20%) and high probability of profit (72%).


November 14, 2024


L3Harris Forecast

LHX        L3Harris

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LHX


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (0.96)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.94)


JXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JXN  Jackson Financial (0.94)


TSEM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSEM  Tower Semiconductor (0.94)


USMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USMV  BTC iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LHX


VLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLY  Valley National Bancorp (0.0)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (0.0)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.0)


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.0)


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LHX


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


GO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GO  Grocery Outlet (-0.89)


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.9)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.9)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.94)







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