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Bullish Case: L3Harris enjoys a robust position in the defense market with strong demand for its electronic warfare and space technologies. The integration of Aerojet Rocketdyne heightens its potential growth, supported by favorable defense budgets.



Bearish Case: Persistent financial instability, highlighted by high debt levels and recent stock underperformance, may continue to spook investors. Market volatility and uncertain regulatory environments pose additional risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Defense contracts increase stock 50%.

2) Debt and instability decrease stock 25%.

3) Leader changes cause volatility 25%.



Trading Oracle: Short volatility strategy suggested. Sell 4 $200 puts, buy 5 $195 puts expiring in 15 days. This leverages mean-reverting nature and bearish sentiment, with a high 79% probability of profit and 64% annualized return.


February 07, 2025


L3Harris Forecast

LHX        L3Harris

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