LNC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: The favorable mean reversion potential and increased investment capacity could yield significant long-term growth for Lincoln National.


Bearish Case: LNC's ongoing legal issues and persistently negative historical performance could lead to further declines in stock price.


Potential Outcomes: 45% chance LNC benefits from mean reversion and undervaluation. 35% continuation of poor historical performance. 20% legal issues impacting stock negatively.


Trading Oracle: Utilize a credit spread to profit from short-term mean reversion. Sell the 08/16/2024 $32.5 put options and buy the $30.0 put options. This short volatility strategy yields a 64% profit probability with high reward:risk.


July 19, 2024


Lincoln National Forecast

LNC      Lincoln National











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RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.92)


SPYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYD  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.92)


CFG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CFG  Citizens Financial (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LNC



DBRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBRG  DigitalBridge (-0.0)


AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (0.0)


RCUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCUS  Arcus Biosciences (-0.0)


CC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CC  Chemours (-0.0)


LZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LZ  LegalZoom.com (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LNC



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)


TWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWM  ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.88)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.88)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.88)





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