LNC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: LNC's low price-to-book ratio and strategic investments highlight potential undervaluation. Recent stability and slight upward trends could signal a mean reversion opportunity.




Bearish Case: Historical underperformance and increased put option volume suggest market skepticism. Legal challenges and high implied volatility may exacerbate downside risks.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of gradual recovery due to undervaluation and market revaluation; 30% ongoing underperformance amid legal challenges; 30% increased volatility from macroeconomic events.




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February 11, 2025


Lincoln National Forecast

LNC        Lincoln National











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WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.8)


FLEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLEX  Flex (0.78)


EXK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXK  Endeavour Silver (0.78)


ITOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITOT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LNC



PARA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PARA  Paramount Global (0.0)


EFX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFX  Equifax (0.0)


DOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOX  Amdocs (-0.01)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LNC



EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.65)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.66)


BGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BGS  B&G Foods (-0.67)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.72)


CRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRI  Carters (-0.73)









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