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LOPE Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: LOPE's mean-reverting behavior coupled with decreasing long-term volatility suggests stability. Strong fundamentals and recent bullish sentiment reinforce potential upside beyond $180.



Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and mean-reverting tendencies might trigger downside. Backwardation indicates caution, suggesting possible corrections to $160 if competitive pressures intensify.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continuation above $180 (50%).

2. Correction towards $160 (30%).

3. Stability around $170 (20%).



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bull call spread. Buy $180 calls and sell $190 calls for July expiration. This captures potential upside while managing risk with a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. Leverage decreasing volatility to enhance potential returns.


February 06, 2025


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