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LRCX Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: LRCX's technological advancements and AI-driven demand could fuel growth. The current volatility term structure suggests a potential uptick as uncertainties resolve.



Bearish Case: Persistent export restrictions and competition are significant headwinds. The backwardation in volatility indicates market skepticism about short-term gains.



Potential Outcomes:
  • AI-driven growth continues (60% likelihood)
  • Export challenges impact revenues (30% likelihood)
  • Market competition increases (10% likelihood)


April 30, 2025


Lam Research Forecast

LRCX        Lam Research

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Uncorrelated Assets

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TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.01)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.01)


PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (0.01)


CUBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CUBE  CubeSmart (0.01)


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FAST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAST  Fastenal (-0.72)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.74)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (-0.76)







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