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LRCX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: LRCX leverages strong AI and data center demand, coupled with favorable term structures. Implied volatility aligns with bullish trading sentiment, indicating potential upward momentum.

Bearish Case: Export restrictions and geopolitical risks persist, limiting growth. High historical price volatility and insider selling signal caution in an uncertain market climate.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of AI-driven growth; 25% risk from export tensions; 15% insider influence causing volatility. Strategic responses critical to navigations.

Trading Oracle: Exploit high implied volatility: Consider bearish short credit spreads expiring in 8 days. Sell $76 call, buy $81 call. 82% Helium odds, 10% return potential. Tap into strategic edge from uneven volatility patterns.

December 27, 2024

Lam Research Forecast

LRCX Lam Research

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LRCX

ANET Arista Networks (0.85)

VAL Valaris (0.81)

ALV Autoliv (0.79)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (0.78)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LRCX

AZN Astrazeneca (0.0)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.01)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.02)

LCID Lucid (0.02)

AMC AMC Entertainment (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LRCX

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (-0.79)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)

COMM CommScope (-0.83)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.83)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.88)

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