LVS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Recovery in Asian markets, strategic partnerships, and increased institutional interest could drive LVS upward, especially with improving tourism and easing travel restrictions.




Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory uncertainties in key markets, along with historical underperformance and potential economic headwinds, pose risks to sustained growth.




Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of growth from Asian recovery; 30% risk of volatile global events; 20% continued underperformance; 15% upside from strategic partnerships.




Trading Oracle: A bullish stance through a long call spread on April expirations captures upside from LVS's potential recovery. Buy 1 April $43 call, sell 1 April $47 call. Capture implied volatility benefits with a high reward:risk ratio and positive edge.



February 15, 2025


Las Vegas Sands Forecast

LVS        Las Vegas Sands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LVS



WB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WB  Weibo (0.73)


MNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNST  Monster Beverage (0.69)


MBUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MBUU  Malibu Boats (0.67)


MT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MT  New York Shares (0.66)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LVS



PPTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPTA  Perpetua Resources (-0.0)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (-0.0)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.0)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.0)


MTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTZ  Mastec (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LVS



BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (-0.63)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.64)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.66)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.67)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.7)









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