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LYG Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: LYG's historical return surface shows moderate likelihood of positive returns over 1-2 years, aligning with bullish social media sentiment and high call volume, suggesting potential recovery.



Bearish Case: Flat price action and high implied volatility in short-term options indicate continued market uncertainty and potential downside risks, compounded by economic concerns and operational challenges.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Legal resolutions create stability (20%).
  • Strategic digital shift boosts growth (25%).
  • Branch closures reduce costs, impact sentiment (30%).



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish stance using debit spreads like the LYG 04/17/2025 $3.00 call, supported by high call volume and moderate implied volatility. Focus on a 3-6 month horizon, leveraging potential positive turn in sentiment and strategic initiatives. Target a reward:risk ratio benefiting from upside.


January 14, 2025


Lloyds Banking Forecast

LYG        Lloyds Banking

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LYG


PSFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSFE  Paysafe Limited (0.86)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.85)


ATI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATI  Allegheny (0.83)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.81)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LYG


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.0)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.02)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.02)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LYG


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.76)


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (-0.76)


PRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRO  Pros (-0.78)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.8)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.81)







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