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M Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Macy's shift to digital sales and strategic partnerships, combined with stable market volatility, suggests potential growth, especially with consumer sentiment improving from strategic initiatives.



Bearish Case: Persisting financial challenges, high market competition, and negative historical trends indicate potential further decline, as suggested by negative implied volatility trends and decreasing stock price.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance: Continued struggles depress prices further due to competition and financial woes.
  • 30% chance: Strategic shifts stabilize stock around $12.
  • 20% chance: Positive consumer trends and partnerships lead to modest recovery.



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May 20, 2025











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with M


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.87)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (0.84)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (0.82)


CC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CC  Chemours (0.82)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to M


PLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLD  Prologis (-0.0)


DNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNA  Ginkgo Bioworks (0.0)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.0)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.01)


AME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AME  Ametek (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against M


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.77)


COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (-0.79)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (-0.79)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.81)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (-0.84)







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