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MA Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: With bullish sentiment reflected in higher implied volatility and stronger historical performance, MA can see a price uptick driven by digital payment growth. This trend is supported by institutional investment and market stability.



Bearish Case: High P/B ratio signifies potential overvaluation and risks, alongside decreasing market volatility could trigger price corrections for MA, especially given market uncertainties in the digital payments landscape.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Price increase (65% probability), aided by bullish sentiment and historical performance.

2. Price stagnation (25% probability) due to market uncertainties.

3. Price correction (10% probability), linked to high valuation metrics.



Trading Oracle: Implement a long call spread, buying the MA 12/20/2024 $515 call and selling the $525 call. This strategy capitalizes on bullish sentiment and implied volatility spikes, controlling risk with positive reward/risk parameters. Target a high probability of profit in a stable time frame.


October 27, 2024


Mastercard Incorporated Forecast

MA        Mastercard Incorporated

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Assets that tend to move strongly with MA


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.95)


IHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IHI  BTC iShares U.S. Medical (0.92)


JEPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JEPI  JPMorgan Equity Premium Income (0.9)


FTNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTNT  Fortinet (0.9)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MA


UCTT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCTT  Ultra Clean Hldgs (-0.0)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.0)


GL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GL  Globe Life (0.0)


HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSY  Hershey (-0.01)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MA


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.71)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.74)


HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.83)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.83)


HLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HLF  Herbalife Nutrition (-0.87)







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