MAC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Optimistic sentiment in options trading, improving balance sheet, and low forward implied volatility suggest potential recovery for MAC prices.




Bearish Case: Persistent skepticism due to historical price declines and high implied volatility at lower strikes indicate potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 50% chance of stagnation near $15 due to mean reversion and implied volatility at flat term structure.
  2. 30% chance of recovery above $17 fueled by strategic asset management and positive options sentiment.
  3. 20% chance of decline below $13 as economic pressures and retail uncertainty persist.



April 20, 2025


Macerich Forecast

MAC        Macerich











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MAC



IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.95)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VB  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.93)


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.93)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.91)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MAC



ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.01)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.01)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (-0.01)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MAC



VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.72)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.74)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.76)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.82)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.91)









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