MCK Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MCK's strong AI investments and strategic acquisitions could enhance operational efficiencies and boost long-term growth amidst solid financial performance and a bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: Legal challenges and potential financial penalties could hinder MCK's performance, leading to stock volatility and potential downturns despite positive AI developments.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 60%: AI investments drive growth.
  2. 25%: Legal challenges cause downturn.
  3. 15%: Unforeseen macroeconomic factors impact performance.




Trading Oracle: Trade a short volatility strategy: Sell the $620/$640 call spread expiring in ~8 days. Benefit from mean reversion and high IV with a compelling edge. High probability of profit with 26% potential return, capturing theta decay in a neutral/bearish setup.



January 31, 2025


Mckesson Forecast

MCK        Mckesson











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