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MDT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Medtronic's robust pipeline and strategic partnerships suggest a potential upside, supported by low implied volatility and stable historical returns yield optimism.

Bearish Case: High put option volume indicates potential downside risk, compounded by ongoing legal challenges and competitive pressures.

Potential Outcomes: Growth through R&D and partnerships (60%).
Regulatory and legal challenges impede (30%).
Stability leads to steady market position (10%).

Trading Oracle: Leverage debit spreads targeting a bullish short to medium-term outlook due to backwardation and low historical volatility. Focus on calls at $85-$90 strikes, expiring around March. Volatility is contained yet upside potential exists primarily fueled by strategic plans, offering risk-focused alpha.

January 12, 2025

Medtronic Forecast

MDT Medtronic

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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