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MLI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MLI's resilient balance sheet and mean-reverting price action, paired with HVAC sector growth, offer substantial upside potential and capitalize on housing demand recovery.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and insider selling indicate potential downside risk, compounded by market saturation concerns and fluctuating commodity prices impacting margins.

Potential Outcomes: Strong Housing Demand: 50% chance
Margin Pressure from Commodity Swings: 30% chance
Strategic Acquisitions: 20% chance

Trading Oracle: Strategy: Bearish Long Volatility
Reason: Elevated uncertainty reflected in volatility surfaces suggests potential for downside. Execute by buying $80 put and selling $75 put. Link to Strategy

March 23, 2025

Mueller Industries Forecast

MLI Mueller Industries

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MLI

MTB M & T (0.95)

CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.92)

CW Curtiss-Wright (0.92)

DEI Douglas Emmett (0.91)

AXP American Express (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MLI

UBER Uber (-0.0)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.02)

XPEL Reg S (-0.02)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MLI

WU Western Union (-0.87)

COTY Coty (-0.87)

DK Delek US (-0.88)

XRX Xerox (-0.89)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.91)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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