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MLI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: MLI's strong fundamentals, improved housing demand, and infrastructure investments can propel prices higher, especially given the low implied volatility and mean-reverting behavior. Potential acquisitions may bolster growth further.



Bearish Case: Increased market volatility could apply pressure on MLI's price, with forecasts indicating a risk of declining earnings due to commodity price fluctuations and potential demand downturns in housing.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Housing demand surges, driving MLI price up (50% chance).

2. Commodity prices remain volatile, leading to earnings instability (30% chance).

3. Acquisition or strategic partnerships enhance growth (20% chance).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying MLI $90 calls and selling $95 calls, expiring in December. Capitalize on MLI's potential upside with limited risk, leveraging low near-term volatility for high reward potential.


November 19, 2024


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MLI        Mueller Industries

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MLI


AXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXP  American Express (0.98)


JXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JXN  Jackson Financial (0.98)


HDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HDV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core High Dividend (0.97)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (0.97)


GS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GS  Goldman Sachs Group (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MLI


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.0)


GLBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLBE  Global E Online (0.0)


FTV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTV  Fortive (-0.0)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (-0.01)


HRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRL  Hormel Foods (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MLI


ETSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETSY  Etsy (-0.92)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.92)


SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.94)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.94)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)







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