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MO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Altria's investments in smoke-free products and a stabilized traditional segment could drive revenue, leveraging steady demand for dividend-paying stocks.

Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and declining cigarette volumes could overshadow growth in diversified portfolios, risking financial performance.

Potential Outcomes: Regulatory win aids growth (50%). E-vapor expansion meets obstacles (30%). Decline in traditional tobacco impacts earnings (20%).

Trading Oracle: Engage in a short-term bullish debit spread by buying Jan 24 $47 calls and selling $55 strikes. Capitalize on backwardation and slight bullish risk, leveraging 70% implied volatility. Target 2–4 week holding period for optimal risk/reward.

January 03, 2025

Altria Forecast

MO Altria

Price Forecast
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