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MOH Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MOH’s consistent growth in membership and effective cost management positions it for potential gains. Historical mean-reversion supports price upward momentum.



Bearish Case: Elevated medical costs and regulatory uncertainties may squeeze margins and affect earnings negatively, indicated by high implied volatility and recent insider sales.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable costs and growth boost stock (60%).

2. Cost pressures hit margins (25%).

3. Regulatory impacts harm operations (10%).

4. Unexpected downturns (5%).



Trading Oracle: The Bullish Short Volatility strategy is ideal here, as MOH shows lower Helium implied volatility compared to market and stable implied volatility structures. Selling ATM put options while buying more OOTM puts could capitalize on potential volatility contraction. [Bullish Short Volatility Put Strategy](https://heliumtrades.com/forecast/MOH/premium-printer/put)


March 01, 2025


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MOH        Molina Healthcare

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOH


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.0)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.01)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (-0.01)


DRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRI  Darden Restaurants (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOH


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WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (-0.78)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (-0.79)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.8)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.81)







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