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MPC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MPC's implied volatility is stabilizing, suggesting market confidence. Strong call volume, bullish sentiment, and potential recovery from recent price drop support upside momentum.



Bearish Case: MPC faces persistent environmental liabilities and diminished investor confidence due to recent underperformance and implied volatility backwardation, indicating market uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth (50%): Implied vol stability, market confidence.
  • Decline (30%): Environmental liabilities impact.
  • Stagnation (20%): Mixed sentiment and flat returns.


April 24, 2025


Marathon Petroleum Forecast

MPC        Marathon Petroleum

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Assets that tend to move strongly with MPC


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.93)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.91)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.91)


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.89)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPC


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (0.0)


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (-0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPC


RL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RL  Ralph Lauren (-0.79)


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.79)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.79)


BFLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BFLY  Butterfly Network (-0.81)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.84)







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