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MQ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Marqeta is strategically positioned within the expanding BNPL and embedded finance sectors, with strong partnership growth potentially driving revenue upward amidst a recovering payment processing landscape.



Bearish Case: Continued financial instability, evidenced by persistent net losses and high volatility in market sentiment, poses significant risks, potentially leading to further stock value declines.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. (55%) Sustained growth through strategic partnerships boosts share price.
  • 2. (25%) Worsening financial losses lead to stock decline.
  • 3. (10%) Stock rebounds from positive earnings surprise.
  • 4. (10%) Regulatory challenges hinder growth and decrease investor confidence.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bearish credit spread by selling two $4.0 call options (delta: 0.51) and buying three $5.0 call options (delta: 0.11) to exploit ongoing high implied volatility. This strategy provides an 81% probability of profit with a favorable risk/reward ratio, aligned with current market conditions and anticipated volatility decay.


December 11, 2024


Marqeta Forecast

MQ        Marqeta

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