MT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: With heightened implied volatility signaling potential price movement, bullish sentiment may rise due to upcoming market catalysts, particularly as earnings season approaches. MT's low price-to-book ratio supports the case for upside potential.




Bearish Case: Given elevated market uncertainty and a consistent decline in historical returns across multiple timeframes, bearish sentiment may prevail. Recent high implied volatility in options indicates a potential risk of downward price movement as investors anticipate jittery market conditions.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of a steady increase as earnings reports exceed expectations.

2. 30% likelihood of sideways trading due to market hesitation.

3. 30% risk of downward movement triggered by external market factors or disappointing results.




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October 20, 2024


New York Shares Forecast

MT        New York Shares











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BMEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMEA  Biomea Fusion (0.82)


BMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMO  Bank of Montreal (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MT



CCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCI  Crown Castle International (-0.0)


WMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMS  Advanced Drainage Systems (-0.0)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (0.0)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (0.0)


IQV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IQV  IQVIA (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MT



GERN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GERN  Geron (-0.71)


CRTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRTO  Criteo (-0.72)


OLLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLLI  Ollies Bargain Outlet (-0.73)


AJG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AJG  Arthur J. Gallagher (-0.74)


LNTH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNTH  Lantheus (-0.75)









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