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MTCH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MTCH call options outpace puts by 60%, reflecting strong market optimism. Historical growth in engagement and innovative features at Tinder and Hinge suggest revenue potential.

Bearish Case: Persisting liquidity concerns and high historical volatility highlight underlying risks. Social media reveals strong discontent due to stagnant growth and competitive pressures.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic Enhancements (40%): Innovations drive user engagement.
Competitive Pressures (35%): New entrants stall growth.
Regulatory Hurdles (25%): Costs hinder profitability.

July 02, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTCH

SWK Stanley Black & Decker (0.88)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (0.84)

COGT Cogent Biosciences (0.83)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.83)

DHI D.R. Horton (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH

PNR Pentair (-0.0)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (-0.0)

XLK Technology Select Sector SPDR (-0.0)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (0.01)

TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.61)

GENI Genius Sports (-0.63)

LRN Stride (-0.65)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.65)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.75)

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