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NAT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Increased tanker demand, coupled with NAT's strategic market positioning and robust call option activity, suggests potential upside. Backwardation in volatility could reflect near-term market optimism.



Bearish Case: Sustained operational challenges and high recent volatility levels indicate potential downside risks, especially if dividends become unsustainable or demand weakens.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 60% chance of modest recovery aligning with tanker demand growth.
  2. 30% possibility of continued challenges impacting performance.
  3. 10% probability of unexpected strategic developments boosting prices.


April 16, 2025


Nordic American Tankers Forecast

NAT        Nordic American Tankers

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Assets that tend to move strongly with NAT


GOGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOGL  Golden Ocean (0.95)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.93)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.93)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.92)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NAT


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.0)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


ROIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROIV  Roivant Sciences (0.01)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NAT


TPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPB  Turning Point Brands (-0.86)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.87)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.87)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.88)


FOXA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOXA  Fox Corporation - (-0.9)







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