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NAT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: NAT's high call option volume and stable implied volatility suggest optimism about a potential market recovery. Strong investments in tanker demand driven by global energy needs could boost profitability.



Bearish Case: Persistent operational challenges and high implied volatility indicate ongoing market uncertainty. Downward pressure may continue if shipping rates remain volatile and dividend cuts become necessary.



Potential Outcomes: Flat performance (40%) due to current market sentiment. Modest gains (35%) with demand recovery. Significant drop (25%) if operational struggles continue or dividends are cut.



Trading Oracle: Execute a long debit spread using $3.00/$3.50 calls for April 2025. This captures upward potential from recovery while leveraging current backwardation. High implied volatility supports a favorable reward-to-risk setup. Monitor tanker demand closely.


February 04, 2025


Nordic American Tankers Forecast

NAT        Nordic American Tankers

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XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.9)


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COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.89)


CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NAT


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.01)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.01)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.03)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (-0.03)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NAT


GVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GVA  Granite Construction (-0.87)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.87)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.87)


AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AXON  Axon Enterprise (-0.88)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (-0.9)







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