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NAT Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NAT shows bullish sentiment with historically high call option volume and ongoing improvements in oil demand. Implied volatility backwardation suggests potential upside surprises.

Bearish Case: NAT faces continued operational challenges and significant historical price decline, with high implied volatility signaling uncertainty and potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of modest recovery with improved tanker demand; 30% probability of flat performance; 20% risk of further decline due to operational setbacks.

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January 04, 2025

Nordic American Tankers Forecast

NAT Nordic American Tankers

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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LESL Leslies (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NAT

NKLA Nikola (-0.0)

APH Amphenol (0.01)

GIII G-III Apparel (0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.02)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NAT

GLD SPDR Gold Shares (-0.86)

FLR Fluor (-0.87)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (-0.87)

GVA Granite Construction (-0.88)

CINF Cincinnati Financial (-0.91)

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