NATR Forecast


Bullish Case: The company's strong digital sales growth, improved customer acquisition, and accolades for leadership cultivate an optimistic outlook. Positive revenue forecasts and a solid balance sheet bolster confidence.


Bearish Case: Despite revenue growth, the company misses EPS estimates. Mean reverting historical price action and high volatility signal potential for continued price instability. Elevated forward P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Digital sales continue strong growth: 40%.

2. Foreign exchange volatility impacts margins: 30%.

3. Market share gain in the global supplements market: 20%.

4. Inflationary pressures ease: 10%.


Trading Oracle: Trade a debit spread (Helium Long Volatility) with a bullish out outlook timed for 100-150 days ahead (Sep-Nov). Buy 15 strike call and sell 18 strike call. Mean-reversion and lower-than-market implied volatilities present low-risk, high-reward scenario. Expect high probability of success.


June 27, 2024


Nature's Sunshine Products Forecast

NATR      Nature's Sunshine Products











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