ARCB Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: ARCB could rally driven by improving freight demand, efficient operations, and strong earnings forecasts, capitalizing on its historical price strength and declining implied volatility, suggesting reduced market anxiety.


Bearish Case: Continued freight market pressures and declining earnings projections could lead ARCB to underperform, driven by weak demand, operational inefficiencies, and rising competitive risks in a softening market.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% probability of price stabilization supported by historical mean reversion.

2. 25% chance of a rebound due to analyst optimism and reduced uncertainty.

3. 15% risk of continued decline amidst freight demand issues and negative market sentiment.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread strategy by selling ARCB 125.00 P (implied volatility: 44.6%) and buying ARCB 115.00 P (implied volatility: 49.8%) with a September expiration. This captures short-term volatility, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio with a high probability of profit due to current market conditions.


July 25, 2024


ArcBest Forecast

ARCB      ArcBest











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ARCB News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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