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NHC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: NHC may benefit from upcoming price negotiations that could enhance margins and stabilize market position, coupled with rising healthcare demand due to recent storm impacts. Implied volatility indicates potential for upside movement.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility suggests market concerns regarding NHC's stability amid tropical storm damages. Additionally, impending profit-taking and sector volatility could pressure prices downward.

Potential Outcomes: Positive pricing outcome (40%): Could bolster margins.
Stabilization above $130 (30%): Reflects strong market recovery.
Downtrend to $115 (20%): Influenced by profit-taking.
Severe negative news reaction (10%): Resulting from sector discontent.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bull call spread targeting NHC's 125/135 strikes to capitalize on potential upside. Given high implied volatility, a 60-90 day timeframe with the upcoming price negotiation could maximize returns. Prepare for quick adjustments based on market sentiment shifts post-negotiation.

November 22, 2024

National Healthcare Forecast

NHC National Healthcare

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NHC

HRB H&R Block (0.88)

EBS Emergent Biosolutions (0.88)

BTI British American Tobacco (0.87)

MGNI Magnite (0.85)

LHX L3Harris (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NHC

ST Sensata (-0.01)

CHAU Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (0.01)

ACN Accenture (-0.01)

AVTR Avantor (-0.02)

RVNC Revance Therapeutics (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NHC

BLMN Bloomin Brands (-0.81)

ALGN Align Technology (-0.82)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)

FIVE Five Below (-0.84)

CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (-0.84)

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