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NHC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NHC shows high likelihood of positive long-term returns, supported by stable pricing around $95.77 and good prospects for expansion.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and mixed social sentiment indicate market uncertainty. Potential sector issues could pressure prices downward.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of rising towards $110 (+15%) due to sector recovery.
30% risk of stabilizing around $95 amid market uncertainty.
10% chance of declining to $85 on negative news.

April 29, 2025

National Healthcare Forecast

NHC National Healthcare

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NHC

TPH Tri Pointe Homes (0.89)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.89)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.86)

LEN Lennar (0.85)

PHM PulteGroup (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NHC

TWO Two Harbors Investment (0.0)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.0)

UBER Uber (0.01)

SLS SELLAS Life Sciences (0.01)

SLNO Soleno Therapeutics (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NHC

DAN Dana (-0.65)

SAN Banco Santander (-0.66)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.69)

PCRX Pacira BioSciences (-0.7)

BB BlackBerry (-0.76)

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