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AI NMS Forecast

Bullish Case: Increasing demand for municipal bonds amid economic recovery could drive NMS prices upward, supported by historical data showing potential for positive returns in 1-2 year windows as indicated by the return surface.

Bearish Case: Persistently low interest rates and economic shocks may maintain the downward pressure on NMS prices, reflecting historical performance trends indicating significant probabilities for negative returns over longer holding periods.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Upward price momentum (40%) from economic recovery efforts.

2. Continued flat performance (30%) due to stagnant market conditions.

3. Bearish trend return (30%) driven by external economic shocks.

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August 19, 2024

Nuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Forecast

NMS Nuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NMS

BURL Burlington Stores (0.94)

XBI SPDR Biotech (0.91)

CHKP Check Point Software Technolgies (0.9)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.9)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NMS

SVOL Simplify Volatility Premium (-0.0)

RIO Rio Tinto (0.0)

HSIC Henry Schein (-0.01)

RMBS Rambus (0.01)

QS QuantumScape (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NMS

KOS Kosmos Energy (-0.86)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.86)

SRS ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.89)

FNGR FingerMotion (-0.9)

DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

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