NODK Forecast


Bullish Case: NODK's historical price return surface indicates a strong likelihood of returns exceeding 20% within two years under favorable market conditions. If consumer spending increases and tech adoption rises, NODK may see substantial gains.


Bearish Case: The return surface suggests a significant number of years yield negative returns. Economic downturns or geopolitical instability could lead NODK to dip below -15%, undermining investor confidence and resulting in losses.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic growth boosts NODK revenues: 40% chance.

2. Market instability leads NODK to drop -20%: 35% chance.

3. Geopolitical tensions slightly affect performance: 15% chance.

4. NODK remains stagnant with minimal growth: 10% chance.


Trading Oracle: Consider initiating short-dated bullish debit spreads focusing on NODK. Aim for a 2-month expiry on near-the-money calls to leverage potential mean reversion and mitigate downside risk. This strategy fits well with the current high reward-to-risk profile.


July 25, 2024


NI Forecast

NODK      NI











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SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.9)





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