NOW Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: ServiceNow's robust AI integration and expanding cloud services drive strong growth potential, supported by favorable market sentiment and increased government partnerships.




Bearish Case: Elevated market valuation and unresolved security vulnerabilities pose significant risks. High implied volatility and mean-reverting price action suggest potential downside pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance of continued revenue growth driven by AI (propelled by strong sentiment)
  • 25% increased volatility due to macroeconomic factors
  • 30% chance of adverse impact from security issues




Trading Oracle: Utilize a Bullish Short Volatility strategy due to favorable implied volatility skews. Selling ATM put options combined with OOTM puts capitalizes on projected upward price movements, with managed risk and anticipated growth in AI and cloud sectors boosting potential returns.



May 01, 2025


ServiceNow Forecast

NOW        ServiceNow











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