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NRC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: NRC's history of breakthroughs and strong research reputation may drive growth. With strategic partnerships and funding, there's potential for a turnaround.



Bearish Case: NRC faces financial strain from high valuation and declining funding. Recent price drops and mean-reverting trends suggest caution against sustained growth.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Funding innovation drives short-term growth (30%)
  2. Continued flat trading due to volatility (40%)
  3. Funding challenges press price correction (30%)



Trading Oracle: Consider a short volatility strategy with NRC credit spreads. Sell NRC 01/17/2025 20.00 C and buy 22.50 C to profit from high implied volatility and potential downside. Short-term outlook maximizes alpha.


January 10, 2025


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NRC        National Research

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XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.93)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NRC


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.0)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (0.0)


DHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHC  Diversified Healthcare (-0.01)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.02)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NRC


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.93)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.93)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (-0.93)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.94)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.94)







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