NYC Forecast


Bullish Case: NYC REIT trading at a multi-year low (-80% from 2 years ago) combined with stable price action over the past year indicates potential for mean reversion. Holding years with positive returns still visible on the graph, supporting a bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: Flat recent price action, weak AI forecast (+0.34%), and high likelihood of negative returns in the short term (graph shows dense red/green <1-year). Socio-political issues and management shake-ups could drive instability.


Potential Outcomes: Closure of migrants' housing crisis at 35% likelihood stabilizing housing/rental markets
Rise in crime rates, 40% chance, leading to reduced real estate appeal and lower REIT performance
Economic recovery with increased tourism, 25% likelihood uplifting demand for NYC properties


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June 27, 2024


New York City REIT Forecast

NYC      New York City REIT











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WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.49)


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ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (0.48)


NVAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVAX  Novavax (0.46)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC



RTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RTX  Raytheon (0.0)


BKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKR  Baker Hughes (-0.0)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.0)


GATO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GATO  Gatos Silver (0.0)


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC



ODP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODP  ODP (-0.6)


NICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NICE  NICE (-0.6)


CYRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYRX  CryoPort (-0.61)


ALTG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALTG  Alta Equipment (-0.61)


DGII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DGII  Digi International (-0.7)





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