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NYC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NYC's mean-reverting behavior suggests potential upside, supported by stable indicators and AI forecasting a 1.63% increase. Prolonged holding periods historically yield positive returns.

Bearish Case: Ongoing socio-political unrest and environmental concerns may continue dampening NYC's appeal, potentially negating mean reversion benefits and challenging REIT valuations.

Potential Outcomes: Socio-political stabilization: 30%
Ongoing unrest, negative impact: 40%
Housing market stabilization: 30%

June 11, 2025

New York City REIT Forecast

NYC New York City REIT

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYC

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.76)

GFI Gold Fields (0.71)

JFIN Jiayin (0.71)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (0.65)

ACMR ACM Research (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC

XP XP (-0.0)

WMG Warner Music (-0.01)

UPST Upstart (-0.01)

HES Hess (-0.01)

VOD Vodafone (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.71)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.72)

CMCSA Comcast (-0.72)

HIVE HIVE Blockchain (-0.74)

VTRS Viatris (-0.81)

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