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NYC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NYC's real estate market shows potential for upside due to historical mean reversion and strategic property locations, indicated by positive returns for longer holding periods. Continued economic recovery could support property values.

Bearish Case: High operational costs and exposure to economic downturns pose significant risks. The ongoing impact of remote work trends may reduce demand for commercial real estate, pressuring NYC REIT's performance.

Potential Outcomes: Economic Recovery: 25% chance of increased tourism boosting demand.
Crime Rates: 40% likelihood of rising crime reducing real estate appeal.
Market Stability: 35% chance of housing market stabilization.

May 04, 2025

New York City REIT Forecast

NYC New York City REIT

Price Forecast
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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYC

SAN Banco Santander (0.74)

AGI Alamos Gold (0.66)

EQX Equinox Gold (0.64)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.62)

JNUG Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.59)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC

BOX Box (-0.0)

SPYG SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.01)

CPS Cooper-Standard (0.01)

UPST Upstart (-0.01)

WMG Warner Music (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC

BZH Beazer Homes USA (-0.69)

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.7)

NOG Northern Oil and Gas (-0.71)

CMCSA Comcast (-0.72)

VTRS Viatris (-0.78)

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