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AI NYC Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A resolution to NYC's migrant crisis and economic rebirth could boost demand for REITs, supported by potential increases in tourism as political stability returns. Historical trends suggest a gradual return to positive price performance over longer holding periods.

Bearish Case: Continued socio-political instability and rising crime rates could deter investment in NYC's real estate, negatively impacting REITs. High likelihood of negative returns within the next 1-2 years, as indicated by recent historical price trends.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Housing market stabilization (30%);

2. Increased tourism and economic recovery (20%);

3. Rising crime rates affecting REIT performance (40%);

4. Political unrest leading to major declines (10%).

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September 21, 2024

New York City REIT Forecast

NYC New York City REIT

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC

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CLF Cleveland-Cliffs (-0.76)

FWRG First Watch Restaurant (-0.78)

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