NYC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: NYC's real estate market shows potential for upside due to historical mean reversion and strategic property locations, indicated by positive returns for longer holding periods. Continued economic recovery could support property values.




Bearish Case: High operational costs and exposure to economic downturns pose significant risks. The ongoing impact of remote work trends may reduce demand for commercial real estate, pressuring NYC REIT's performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Economic Recovery: 25% chance of increased tourism boosting demand.
  • Crime Rates: 40% likelihood of rising crime reducing real estate appeal.
  • Market Stability: 35% chance of housing market stabilization.



May 04, 2025


New York City REIT Forecast

NYC        New York City REIT











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYC



SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.74)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (0.66)


EQX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQX  Equinox Gold (0.64)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.62)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.59)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC



BOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOX  Box (-0.0)


SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.01)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (0.01)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (-0.01)


WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC



BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (-0.69)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.7)


NOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOG  Northern Oil and Gas (-0.71)


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (-0.72)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.78)









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