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NYC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NYC's strategic property locations and historical mean reversion suggest potential for long-term appreciation. Economic recovery and strategic planning can bolster confidence.

Bearish Case: Persistent socio-political issues, rising crime rates, and remote work trends could depress property demand and rental yields, hampering recovery.

Potential Outcomes: 45% chance of socio-political stabilization lifting real estate demand.
35% chance crime rates undercut investor confidence, reducing property value.
20% chance of economic rebound increasing demand slightly.

Trading Oracle: Use short-term credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility) as NYC shows low volatility and mean-reverting behavior. Target a 1-3 month window. This approach prudently captures time decay and premium decay given neutral AI signals and social sentiments.

January 30, 2025

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NYC New York City REIT

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYC

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.64)

LTH Life Time (0.63)

SATS EchoStar (0.62)

BSX Boston Scientific (0.6)

HIMX Himax (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC

KBH KB Home (0.0)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.0)

CG Carlyle (-0.01)

OLPX Olaplex (-0.01)

DELL Dell (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC

MNST Monster Beverage (-0.62)

ATKR Atkore (-0.62)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.64)

MTN Vail Resorts (-0.65)

HRL Hormel Foods (-0.73)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.