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OLED Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: OLED's consistent 10-year growth and potential advancements in display technology could drive future gains. A strong historical performance inspires investor confidence despite recent stagnation.



Bearish Case: Sharp decline in option call volume and higher-than-average implied volatility suggest elevated risk. Recent flat performance indicates potential stagnation as competitive pressures increase.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 45% chance of price increase driven by tech advancements and demand.
  2. 35% chance of stagnation due to market saturation.
  3. 20% chance of decline due to competitive pressures.



Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility Strategy: Given flat term structure and high market implied volatility, capitalize with selling puts and buying OTM puts to manage upside exposure and hedge risk.


March 23, 2025


Universal Display Forecast

OLED        Universal Display

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CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OLED


CHRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHRW  C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.0)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (-0.0)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)


ACLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACLX  Arcellx (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OLED


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (-0.75)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.77)


AAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAL  American Airlines (-0.78)


HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (-0.81)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.82)







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