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OLED Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: OLED's 435% 10-year growth and decreasing term structure volatility suggest potential for continued upward trajectory. The current bullish sentiment and price-to-book ratio add to this optimism.



Bearish Case: Negative recent performance over two years, coupled with overestimated historical volatility, highlights potential decline. Current flat market conditions and riskier options add to downside risk.



Potential Outcomes: Prices may either sustain or face short-term stagnation, each with a 50% likelihood. Options trading remains uncertain, with low volatility making major spikes less probable.



Trading Oracle: Capitalize on bullish momentum with a long call debit spread: buy the $150 March call, sell the $160 May call. Given decreasing term structure, this strategy has controlled risk and substantial upside potential within a 3-6 month horizon.


February 18, 2025


Universal Display Forecast

OLED        Universal Display

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LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (0.7)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OLED


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (-0.0)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.0)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (0.0)


HAE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAE  Haemonetics (0.0)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OLED


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.67)


TALK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TALK  Talkspace (-0.69)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.7)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.73)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (-0.76)







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