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OLED Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: OLED's consistent 10-year growth and potential advancements in display technology could drive future gains. A strong historical performance inspires investor confidence despite recent stagnation.



Bearish Case: Sharp decline in option call volume and higher-than-average implied volatility suggest elevated risk. Recent flat performance indicates potential stagnation as competitive pressures increase.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 45% chance of price increase driven by tech advancements and demand.
  2. 35% chance of stagnation due to market saturation.
  3. 20% chance of decline due to competitive pressures.



Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility Strategy: Given flat term structure and high market implied volatility, capitalize with selling puts and buying OTM puts to manage upside exposure and hedge risk.


March 23, 2025


Universal Display Forecast

OLED        Universal Display

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Uncorrelated Assets

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OLED


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.68)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.72)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.72)


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