OLP Forecast


Bullish Case: OLP's consistent dividends, recent industrial property deals, and potential boost from new management strategies could drive future price appreciation.


Bearish Case: Institutional sell-offs, historically flat performance, and the negative impact of EPS estimate cuts combined with high implied volatility suggest potential downward pressure on OLP's price.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Dividend maintenance (60%) supports stability.

2. Institutional sell-off (25%) triggers price drop.

3. Earnings miss (15%) impacts stock value short-term.


Trading Oracle: Trade OLP short-term credit spreads, selling near-term OTM puts like Aug 16, 22.50 P, to capitalize on high implied volatility. This strategy targets premium collection and mean-reversion, offering attractive reward-to-risk and high probability of profit.


June 30, 2024


One Liberty Properties Forecast

OLP      One Liberty Properties











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OLP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.58)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OLP



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.58)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.71)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OLP



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.9)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.39)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.58)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.71)





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