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OMER Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Positive Phase 2 OMS906 data and potential Narsoplimab approval can spur growth, leveraging high market interest reflected in implied volatility. Social optimism supports momentum.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates fear of adverse outcomes, such as Narsoplimab delays or OMS906 setbacks, which could lead to sharp downturns. Mean reversion poses additional risks.

Potential Outcomes: Phase 2 OMS906 data positive: 70% chance.
Narsoplimab approval: 50% chance.
Narsoplimab delay or rejection: 30% chance.
Continued high volatility suggests market sentiment shift: 60% chance.

April 30, 2025

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OMER Omeros

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OMER

PL Planet Labs PBC - (0.89)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.87)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.86)

DFS Discover Financial Services (0.85)

CLBT Cellebrite DI (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OMER

FE Firstenergy (0.0)

CVX Chevron (0.0)

BA Boeing (-0.02)

RPD Rapid7 (-0.02)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OMER

BHP BHP Group Limited (-0.78)

ADNT Adient (-0.79)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.81)

BCE BCE (-0.81)

XP XP (-0.85)

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