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OMER Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Positive Phase 2 OMS906 data and potential Narsoplimab approval can spur growth, leveraging high market interest reflected in implied volatility. Social optimism supports momentum.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates fear of adverse outcomes, such as Narsoplimab delays or OMS906 setbacks, which could lead to sharp downturns. Mean reversion poses additional risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Phase 2 OMS906 data positive: 70% chance.
  • Narsoplimab approval: 50% chance.
  • Narsoplimab delay or rejection: 30% chance.
  • Continued high volatility suggests market sentiment shift: 60% chance.


April 30, 2025


Omeros Forecast

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Assets with little price relationship to OMER


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DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (-0.01)


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GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.01)


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Assets that tend to move strongly against OMER


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ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.75)


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BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.77)


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