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Bullish Case: A rebound in the housing market could significantly enhance Offerpad's transaction volume, bolstering revenue and investor confidence, leading to bullish price momentum for OPAD.

Bearish Case: Persistent challenges in the housing market could sap demand for Offerpad's services, risking further declines in stock price as economic conditions worsen and investor sentiment falters.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Housing market recovery (40%);

2. Continued economic decline (30%);

3. Stable performance with minor fluctuations (20%);

4. Major partnership or technological advancements (10%).

Trading Oracle: Considering the high implied volatility, initiate a bullish debit spread using OPAD 5.00 C and 7.50 C calls due January 2025. This strategy leverages potential upward price movement while minimizing risk, aiming for high reward-to-risk ratios with a significant probability of profit.

August 21, 2024