SPOT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Increasing user base, ad revenue growth, and strong institutional interest position SPOT for further upside. Historical returns outline a probable increase.


Bearish Case: Competitive pressures and Paul Vogel's departure could hamper financial stability. Elevated implied volatility indicates potential market correction risks.


Potential Outcomes: Continued user growth and ad revenue boost (40%); Competitive pressures and stagnation (35%); Sharp market correction (25%). Adjusting probabilities based on historical and updated data.


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July 18, 2024


Spotify Technology Forecast

SPOT      Spotify Technology











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPOT



WING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WING  Wingstop (0.97)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (0.97)


TME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TME  Tencent Music Entertainment Group - (0.96)


SFM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFM  Sprouts Farmers Market (0.96)


DXJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXJ  WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPOT



FPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FPI  Farmland (-0.0)


AAOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAOI  Applied Optoelectronics (0.0)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.0)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.01)


MT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MT  New York Shares (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPOT



WTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WTI  W & T Offshore (-0.93)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.93)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.93)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.93)


WW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WW  WW International (-0.93)





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