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PAA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: PAA benefits from strong call option volumes and a bullish AI price forecast (+0.85%), indicating investor optimism. This aligns with potential for revenue growth from increasing demand in the energy sector.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility (up to 500%) reflects market anxiety, possibly due to upcoming earnings reports. A disappointment could lead to significant price drops as implied by historical price action trends.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive earnings surprise (40%);

2. Market correction post-earnings, causing price drop (30%);

3. Stabilization around current levels post-report (30%).



Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread by selling the $18.00 strike call and buying the $20.00 strike call. Timeframe: Near-term expiry in late November, focusing on PAA's implied volatility convergence towards a more stable state. Probability of profit is strengthened by current market conditions and open interest.


November 17, 2024


Plains All American Pipeline Forecast

PAA        Plains All American Pipeline

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PAA


FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (0.8)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (0.78)


ET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ET  Energy Transfer LP (0.76)


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (0.74)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PAA


CFLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CFLT  Confluent (-0.0)


CLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLX  Clorox (0.0)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (0.0)


SBGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBGI  Sinclair Broadcast Group (0.0)


DOCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOCN  DigitalOcean (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PAA


INMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INMD  Inmode (-0.68)


ALGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALGT  Allegiant Travel (-0.68)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.68)


CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (-0.69)


PACB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PACB  Pacific Biosciences of California (-0.72)







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