PCAR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PCAR's consistent demand for electric vehicles, robust earnings, and market positioning may drive near-term upside despite current volatility patterns.




Bearish Case: Recent price declines and high insider trading suggest potential mistrust and competitiveness issues, risking further downside in the medium term.




Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of moderate growth from EV market demand; 25% chance of further decline due to insider trading; 15% likelihood of price stabilization.




Trading Oracle: With current flat term structure and implied volatility higher than market, a Bullish Short Volatility strategy by selling puts and buying further OOTM puts is optimal, considering PCAR's robust demand and mean-reverting nature.



April 02, 2025


Paccar Forecast

PCAR        Paccar











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PCAR



LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (0.81)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.79)


ATEC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATEC  Alphatec (0.7)


HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (0.67)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PCAR



VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.0)


BEKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEKE  KE (0.0)


FRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRPT  Freshpet (-0.0)


CTLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTLP  Cantaloupe (0.0)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PCAR



SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SARK  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.66)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (-0.66)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.69)


CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (-0.7)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.72)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with PCAR


 Ask any question about PCAR!