PDFS Forecast


Bullish Case: PDFS has historically shown a likelihood of positive returns over longer holding periods, and with low current implied volatility, this presents opportunities for profit.


Bearish Case: Higher market uncertainty compared to Helium's forecasts suggests potential overpricing, thereby increasing the likelihood of sharp corrections or downward movements in the short-term.


Potential Outcomes: High adoption rates of PDFS products drive stock growth (65% probability); security issues limit expansion (20%); Tech advancements enhance market value (15%).


Trading Oracle: Trade a 3-month bull put spread given low market implied volatility, and the stock's mean-reverting nature. Optimal strikes: 35/40. This strategy captures potential upside while limiting risk, with a favorable reward-to-risk ratio and a high probability of profit.


July 13, 2024


PDF Forecast

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PDFS



GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (0.83)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.8)


NVCR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVCR  NovoCure (0.8)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.8)


CVLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVLG  Covenant Logistics (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PDFS



BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.0)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (0.0)


CLMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLMT  Calumet Specialty Products (-0.0)


EWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Hong Kong (0.0)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PDFS



NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.56)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.56)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.59)


NOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOC  Northrop Grumman (-0.6)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.68)





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