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PETS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Insider buying and increased pet ownership trends could drive PETS recovery despite current low. Historical undervaluation supports potential for rebound.



Bearish Case: Consistent competition and operational inefficiencies persist, queuing further decline as financial struggles heighten investor skepticism, evidenced by a -79.4% decline over five years.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Turnaround initiatives (30%)
  • Continued decline (50%)
  • Acquisition (20%)
Hist. return trends and weak competitive position guide these probabilities.



Trading Oracle: Implement Helium Short Volatility via bear call spreads (PETS Mar '25 5.00C - 7.50C) capitalizing on high IV and bearish outlook. Short-term (2-3 months), maximizing reward with limited risk amid potential declines. Favor high negative historical returns.


January 02, 2025


Petmed Express Forecast

PETS        Petmed Express

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PETS


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.85)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (0.82)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (0.79)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.79)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PETS


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.0)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.0)


TVTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TVTX  Travere Therapeutics (-0.0)


LMND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMND  Lemonade (-0.01)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PETS


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.77)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.79)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (-0.8)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.8)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.81)







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